Currency depreciation effects on ADR returns: Evidence from Latin America
We use seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR) and multivariate regression models (MVRM) in a panel sample of 74 American depository receipts (ADR) programs from Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Mexico during the period May 1994 to May 2009 to analyze the behavior of ADR returns during the 300-day period surrounding the currency crises breakdown in the originator's country. Controlling for the underlying stock and local and host country equity indices, we find that ADRs generate significant negative abnormal returns during currency crises, due to translation exposure. Abnormal returns remain statistically significant even in crises triggered by currency depreciations as small as 3.6%. The results persist after including exchange rate returns as a control variable and after an orthogonalization procedure of exchange rate against local country indices. In agreement with ADR literature, our results show that ADR prices are determined primarily by the underlying stock, exchange rates, and host country index, in that order. Moreover, we observe how market integration has become evident in more recent times as the coefficients for the U. S. stock market have increased its contribution to ADR price discovery.
|Keywords||American Depository Receipts, Currency Crises, Event Studies, Latin America, Seemingly Unrelated Regressions|
|Journal||Journal of Economics and Finance|
Esqueda, O.A. (Omar A.), & Jackson, D. (2012). Currency depreciation effects on ADR returns: Evidence from Latin America. Journal of Economics and Finance, 36(3), 691–711. doi:10.1007/s12197-010-9144-9